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Reinsurance CAT Modeling AI

CAT model AI update — reinsurer owns reserve miss

—METI AI Guidelines 2024 + APPI

Regulatory exposure — commonly overlooked:
Cedents trust model — cannot reproduce AI assumption chain · Japan soft-law approach hardening — FSA now expects bank AI documentation like BaFin.

TAM / Exposure

$600B global reinsurance

Insurance lines

E&O · Cyber · Sector liability

Exhibit authority

Japan METI AI Pack — Reinsurance CAT Modeling AI External Validation Pack

Global leaders

Munich Re · Swiss Re · RMS · METI · SoftBank · Toyota · FSA

Ian / Ida lessons

Model miss = solvency event — AI model change control critical.

Munich Re aiSure

Needs behavioral data Velaru asymmetry feed provides

[Japan] Aging society

Japan healthcare AI urgency — receipt for elder care and nursing decisions.

[Japan] Automotive

Toyota/Honda AV — NHTSA equivalent documentation for JAMA standards.

[Text / Chat] Modality hook

Baseline — all frameworks apply to text decisions.

7 mandate layers (live)

Regulatory Clock Countdown to operative regulatory deadline — NAIC adoption, GSE mandate, EU transposition. Open →

Domain Classifier Industry-specific SAFE/CRISIS/VIOLATION with regulatory framework mapping. Open →

Exhibit / Filing Pack Regulator-ready external validation — NAIC Exhibit D, Fannie QC, EU FRIA, FDA Part 11. Open →

Mandate Registry Enroll deployers/insureds under vertical-specific governance mandate. Open →

Bind / Action Gate ALLOW/BLOCK before consequential action — bind policy, sell loan, deactivate worker. Open →

Compliance Certificate Deployer-facing downloadable cert — forward to counsel, auditor, regulator. Open →

Actuarial / Risk Feed Anonymized asymmetry signals for pricing, reserving, reinsurance correlation. Open →

Run reinsurance_cat demo Regulatory calendar Download exhibit pack Verify independently